Overall Red alert Tropical Cyclone for ETA-20
in Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
01 Nov 2020 03 UTC
click on to select bulletin time
  • GDACS NOAA
Impact Single TC
Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

    Tropical Cyclone ETA-20 can have a high humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

    Meteorological source GDACS
    Exposed countries Nicaragua, United States, Honduras
    Exposed population 200 thousand in Category 1 or higher
    Maximum wind speed 241 km/h
    Maximum storm surge 1.1 m (03 Nov 16:00 UTC)
    Vulnerability Medium (Nicaragua)
    Landfall between
    03 Nov 2020 12:00 - 04 Nov 2020 00:00
    in Nicaragua

    GDACS Score

    GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
    For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
      Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
    Current 130 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 1.5
    Overall 241 km/h 1.1 m n.a. 1.5

    Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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    Wind

      130 km/h Current Max.

      Up to 200000 people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

      Impact Timeline

        Alert N° Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
        Tropical Storm or higher        		 Population in
        Cat 1. or higher        		 Countries
        Orange 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 139 7.1 million 290 thousand Nicaragua
        Orange 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 130 6.3 million 200 thousand Nicaragua, Honduras

        Bulletin Timeline

          Alert N° Date (UTC) Category
          (SSHS)           		Max winds
          (km/h)           		Population in
          Cat.1 or higher           		Population in
          Tropical Storm
          or higher           		Location (lat, lon) Countries
          GREEN
          		 1 31 Oct 2020 21:00 Tropical depression 56 no people no people 15, -73.2
          GREEN
          		 2 01 Nov 2020 03:00 Tropical storm 65 no people no people 15, -74.2
          GREEN
          		 2 01 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people no people 15.1, -76.4
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 93 no people no people 15.3, -78.8
          GREEN
          		 2 02 Nov 2020 12:00 Tropical storm 111 no people 220000 people 15.2, -80.8
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 130 no people 830000 people 14.7, -82.1
          GREEN
          		 2 03 Nov 2020 12:00 Category 1 148 82000 people 2.8 million people 14.2, -82.8
          ORANGE
          		 2 04 Nov 2020 00:00 Category 1 130 140000 people 3.7 million people 13.7, -83.7 Nicaragua
          GREEN
          		 2 05 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 5.1 million people 14, -85.5 Nicaragua, Honduras
          GREEN
          		 2 06 Nov 2020 00:00 Tropical depression 46 no people no people 14.5, -87 Honduras
          Actual track of the current bulletin
          The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
          Download:



          Exposed population - AoIs

          Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

          Countries

          Country
          Honduras
          Nicaragua

          Provinces

          Region Province Country
          Zelaya Nicaragua
          Jinotega Nicaragua
          Olancho Honduras
          El Paraiso Honduras

          Populated places

          Name Region Province Country City class Population
          Puerto Cabezas Atlántico Norte Nicaragua City 34000 people

          Critical infrastructure

          Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

          Airports

          Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
          Puerto Cabezas PUZ 16 Civ. Paved No 8200
          Rosita RFS 63 0
          Bonanza San Pedro BZA unknown 0
          Bonanza 182 0
          Siuna 146 0

          Ports

          Name LOCODE Country
          Cayos Miskitos Nicaragua
          Tuapi Nicaragua
          Puerto Cabezas NIPUZ Nicaragua
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          Rainfall

          Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

          ...

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          StormSurge

          1.1 m

          The maximum Storm surge height is  1.1m in Ninayeri, Nicaragua. This height is estimated for 03 Nov 2020 16:00 UTC .

          The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

          Locations affected by Storm surge (113 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 2 of 01 Nov 2020 03:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

          Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Ninayeri Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Ledakura Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Graytown Nicaragua  1.1
          03 Nov 2020 20:00 Puerto Cabezas Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 20:00 Tuapi Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 20:00 Crucira Nicaragua  0.9
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Awastara Nicaragua  0.9
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Lama Laya Nicaragua  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 22:00 Huahua Nicaragua  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 23:00 Karata Nicaragua  0.8
          03 Nov 2020 14:00 Raya Honduras  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 14:00 Clubki Honduras  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Cabo Gracias Viejo Nicaragua  0.7
          03 Nov 2020 10:00 Kanko Honduras  0.6
          03 Nov 2020 23:00 Coco Haulover Nicaragua  0.6
          03 Nov 2020 08:00 Irlaya Honduras  0.6
          03 Nov 2020 09:00 Cabo Gracias a Dios Honduras  0.6
          03 Nov 2020 18:00 Uhi Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 14:00 Patlaya Honduras  0.5
          03 Nov 2020 11:00 Canco Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 11:00 Barra Kruta Honduras  0.4
          04 Nov 2020 00:00 Wounta Nicaragua  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 10:00 Tay Lirila Honduras  0.4
          03 Nov 2020 10:00 Cauauira Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 10:00 Dapat Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Barra de Caratasca Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Yahurabila Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Pusuaya Honduras  0.3
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Kaski Honduras  0.3
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Hualpasika Nicaragua  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Altagracia Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Las Playitas Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Punto Miranda Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Aceituno Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Claura Honduras  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Ararca Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Haticos del Sur Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Cucharal Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Jaguecito Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Canito Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Punta Igauna Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Leticia Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Caserio El Cobado Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Polonia Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Santa Ana Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Pasacaballo Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Punta de Leiva Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Santa Rita Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Guere Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Mene Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Las Mucuras Venezuela  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 16:00 Barra del Patuca Honduras  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 El Capulin Nicaragua  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Santo Tomas Nicaragua  0.2
          03 Nov 2020 17:00 Mangle Alto Nicaragua  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pendales Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Porto Nao Colombia  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Palmarejo Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Bebedero Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Barrancas Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 El Bajo Venezuela  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Bajo Grande Venezuela  0.2
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Tahuantla Nicaragua  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Brazalitta Jamaica  0.2
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabimas Venezuela  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Wankluma Nicaragua  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Mahoe Gardens Jamaica  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Concepcion Venezuela  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 14:00 Huarta Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Zaragocilla Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Santa Maria Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Perrecenega Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Bajo Grande Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Palma Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Bavo Grande Panama  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 01:00 Puerto Isabel Nicaragua  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Pedregalito Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 San Antonio Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 San Matias Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Lagunillas Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Cabeza de Toro Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Baru Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Buena Vista Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Mogocenega Panama  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 15:00 Rio Platano Honduras  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 13:00 Tusi Cocal Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Tolu Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Cenicita Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta Gordo Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Pica Roja Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 La Vaca Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Porvenir Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Agua Clara Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Ciuiad Ojeda Venezuela  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Chiman Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Brujas Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Guera Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Pava Grande Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Saboga Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Boca de Torin Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 18:00 Chinina Panama  0.1
          03 Nov 2020 12:00 Mocobila Honduras  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Punta Alegre Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Sebolleta Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 El Encanto Panama  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Rincon Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Hiqueron Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Montemar Colombia  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 00:00 La Graciosa Guatemala  0.1
          04 Nov 2020 00:00 Machacal Guatemala  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 17:00 Majagual Colombia  0.1
          01 Nov 2020 16:00 Puerto Viejo Colombia  0.1